Models made some dramatic changes to the track of the system since last night. A 100km South shift to the track changed the course of this system by quite a bit. The models also showed a weaker solution.
Despite all that changes, the forecast still did not change much. 5-10 cm of snow is still in play for the GTA and 10cm or more is possible around the Niagara Peninsula.
We are once again in an active pattern. After the Clipper there are quite a few things to look at. With the block up north, abundant cold air is right above us. The gulf keep sending the warm moiture up here and with the dynamics of a -NAO, an active jet will bring storm after storm to the eastern half of North America.
Models had not been doing a good job with these storms and that made me not wanting to look into them unless the storm is 4 days out. Pattern ins the key and we are locked into a good one right now.
I will have the warning set up by tomorrow morning with further details on this clipper.
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