Saturday, December 27, 2008

Mild weather wont last, winter makes an immediate return




Snow is currently melting rapidly as the temperature holds at 10 degrees. We are definitely used to see this from time to time during the winter and it looks like this one wont last too long. We will be back at winter in 2 more days!

As always, a winter rain storm always have a sharp cold front which can drop the temperature down alot in a short period of time. Sunday evening will be the time for that to happen, and two clippers will follow.

The first one looks to pass north of us, bringing us a few cm of flurries or wet flurries.

The second one looks stronger and will go further south and should be here right before New Years eve, I will be watching this one closely and we could receive 5-10 cm from this.

With NAO dropping and a blocking pattern setting up. We are heading for a very snowy early Jan. A rather potent storm is already showing itself on the models and I have pretty high confidence that this storm will take place. Thus I have set up storm possibility already.

The dynamics of this storm looks perfect, we wont be worrying about warm air at all with this pattern and the first low looks to track right into us. If this thing is strong and the energy of the low transfers closer to the coast and slower, we are looking at a major winter storm.

As I am typing this, green grass is already showing itself at the park back of my building, fortunately, it looks like I wont be seeing that for too long!

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