Tuesday Dec 16 2008 5:00 AM EST - A moderate low pressure system off colorado moves quickly into Southern Ontario late Tuesday, bringing 5-15 cm of snow to most regions. Recent observations and models show a stronger precip band from this system, but due to the fast moving nature of this storm, there wont be a significant amount of snow. Despite that, snow associated with this system could be at times heavy and could accumulate quite a bit. Up to 10 cm of snow is expected in the Southwestern Ontario and up to 15 cm of snow is expect in the southeast. Mixing will be fairly minimal if any in the Niagara Peninsula and the snow/liquid ratio should be quite high with this storm. Forecast for selected cities:
Toronto 10 cm
London 5-10 cm
Windsor - 5-10 cm
Barrie - 5-10 cm
Niagara Region - 10 cm 20% chance of Freezing rain
Kingston - 10-15 cm
Ottawa - 5-10 cm
Subary - 5 cm
Well what do you know, looks like this little Helen might actually bring the biggest accumulations in the GTA thus far( well this will probably be the case for one more day). Since 10 cm or more is expected for a city, this winter storm is now named. The models trended this thing a little stronger and because of the consistency shown and the high snow/liquid ratio expected, we are gonna get more snow than originally expected. Well, I would have been crazy over how this storm is turning out, but that will not be the case, since what might be coming up next is crazier.
Winter Storm George had already been a beast yesterday, the confidence level on this just raised even higher with the new models. The last two runs only verifies the legitimacy of this system and the track had not changed much. We are still under heavy heavy snow according to ALL the models and its just amazing how much they are agreeing with each other right now. I don't think I have much more to say about this other than the fact that I hope this will not change.
The threat of a rainstorm is diminishing and even the threat of a ice storm is put on hold for now. How does an all out blizzard sound? Too good to be true? we will be talking about that the next few days.
And what do you know, yet another winter threat could be on the scene the last day of this week, right now, I don't have much to say about this one other than the fact that the chance of this winter storm occuring is getting likier with every model run. We are still too far away to talk about the amounts, but let me tell you, this could be a very good way to end what could be an historical week in the making.
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