When this storm had appeared on radar, I know that it is gonna be a tough one to deal with, the models are leaning one way or another and I have to take a central stand, turns out that is what happened.
Since Monday Afternoon, about 10 cm of slushy wet snow had fallen in Toronto, you wouldn't be noticing that if you look outside. All but melted either on contact or soon after. Folks just north of the GTA got a decent storm out of it. Aurora got 10-15 cm and Barrie got 15-20 cm, most had been sticking to the ground.
In terms of the overall accuracy of my final forecast, it is actually pretty good. The only part I probably messed up is around the golden horseshoe.
I am still waiting for the final amount and should have a report on that by tomorrow in this thread.
I really don't like looking into the past, especially when its not very good, so lets have a quick looks at what the next little while looks like.
like I've mentioned previously, we are currently in a very interesting pattern.
lake effect should continue off Huron, Georgian and Erie and amounts could be disastrous yet again. This Nov and Dec could very well get most of the snowbelts above the annual snowfall average.
The past 3 days had a storm moving up in the northeast on almost all major models. The Euro brings the storm right to us. GFS and GEM had it into the coast, guess what, it looks like the Euro had persuaded the GFS and GEM to join its idea and on the 12z run this morning, all have a major winter storm going up.
the be quite frank, the 12z GFS is making me drool, 50 cm of snow with blizzard conditions for the GTA. I seriously doubt that this will ever be the case, but it just shows that there will likely be a storm at this time range, especially when all models agree somewhat this far out.
I would love to get out the storm possibility post out right now, but it just don't seem realistic to jump on the gun on something that just caught people's attention, I will be monitoring this one very closely as always.
Winter is here to stay!
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