Strong Clipper brings the first snowstorm of the season

6:20pm EDT 0 Tuesday Nov 18, 2008
An Alberta Clipper will track through Central and southwestern Ontario Wednesday evening. Bringle a broad range of 5-10 cm with upwards of 15cm of snow to most places in central ans southwestern Ontario. This Clipper had been very consistant on the models and there is a strong confidence in the track of this system. Snow should begin tommorow afternoon in central Ontario and tommorow evening in the GTA and the Niagara region. This system will bring the first snowstorm of the season to the none snowbelts regions and another new shot of even colder air and lack effect snow behind it.

Windsor - 2-5 cm
London - 8-13 cm
Toronto -5-10 cm
Barrie - 6-11 cm
Niagra Region 8-12 cm
Kingston - 1-3 cm
Ottawa - trace
Sudbury - 3-6 cm

The winter chill looks like its here to stay and now it looks like it will be acompanied by a snowstorm.

Usually when tracking a low pressure system, it is always good to see consistancy. Its been amazing how consistant this Clipper had been shown on the models. For 7 straight days, the GFS shows this Alberta Clipper consistantly with a similar track into southern Ontario. It is one of the rare moment that a model is this stubborn on a storm!

I think this Clipper will bring at least 3 cm of snow anywhere west of Bellvile and East of Detroit. A strong band of lake effect snow will immediately set up after the system diminishes across Georgian Bay. Areas west of the GTA to London cold see upwards to 15 cm.

I usually lose bets, but I am soo very confident that this will bring accumulating snow that I even said to take my friends for dinner if it doesn't!

This is no big winter storm, but I think this moderate Clipper could cause lots of traffic havoc in the GTA due to the fact that this is the first snowstorm of the season.

This is a very easy one to forecast and definitely a good start to winter!

PS: the supposedly winterstorm on 22-24st I discussed on the previous post is nowhere to be found the last two days on the models, unless this thing show up tommorow, I will dismiss it.