Edit: Another things to add is the how format of these forecasts gonna be, the italics will be the actual forecasts from us and the rest will be our thoughts, things we want to blab out and well... the fun stuff!
Monday, October 27,2008 5:00 EST
A low pressure system is set to explode off the Mid Atlantic Coast moving due north across the Axis of Northwest New York State into Southern Quebec. This sudden outburst of moisture is set to produce heavy rain Due east of the southern Ontario/Quebec border and heavy wet snow East and North of it. The models had made a sudden shift of change hinting for heavier precip starting this morning and had been consistent for 2 runs. 15-30cm of snow could fall between a narrow strip of area in Upstate New york, southeastern Ontario and eastern Quebec. Lake effect snow can set up east of this system in the traditional snowbelts. The last run of model had the storm a fairly consistent track with a bit of a westward shift. Due to the fact that this is a early season storm, a little bit of warmup will change the snowfall total dramatically. The first bit of the snowfall will melt on contact due to the warmer ground.
Forecasts Number 1 For Southern Ontario Cities:
Windsor - 0 - trace cm
London - 1-3 cm
Toronto - trace cm
Barrie - 1-3 cm
Niagra Region - 1 cm
Kingston - 2-5 cm
Ottawa - 15-25cm
Sudbury - 0 cm
This storm caught many people by surprise and that includes me, the last few days I've been busy making websites and such and not been paying too much attention to the weatherman and Wham! This winterstorm pops up!
This one will be one to remember for the folks in eastern Ontario and Upstate Newyork mainly due to the timing of it. When do you ever seen a winterstorm happen in October? Yeah sure it is very late in October and all, the truth of the matter is, it is still October!
Winterstorm Albert, as I would call it, will come out of nowhere. A centre of low pressure gathers these moiture from mid-atlantic, combining with the cold air from the northwest fuels up this rare storm. It will move due north for the next few days then taking a northeast turn.
a narrow swath of area will see 15-30 cm(6-12 inches) snow and parts of the higher elevations in New York State could see up to 40cm(15 inches). New York City will missed out on this, maybe seeing some flurries Tuesday night.
Lake effect snow will set up east of this system. Areas south of Georgian bay, Lake Huron, Lake Ontario, Lake Erie will see acumulating lake effects, it could be especially Heavy southeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.
Unfortunately, me and Daniel will be missing all the fun. Toronto will only receive trace amounts of snow from a few lake effect bands. One things to note though is the continues slight west push of this system, this could mean that Toronto have an outside chance of getting into the acummulations range, but I doubt it.
Some say that this storm could be signs of things to come for the winter, but I respectively disagree, while getting a snowstorm this early may be rare, it happens because of the special dynamics of the weather pattern right now, (which could change significantly for the winter), not because this winter will be even colder because its already snowing early. (Hope this makes sense!)
Folks thats getting this thing though, be prepared and have fun! When do you ever seen snow on the ground when treat or treating?
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