Last winter has brought both joy and sadness to winter lovers. People around the great lakes gets to enjoy winter to its best potential while people further southeast in the NE US are suffering constantly with one rainstorm after another. I myself gets the better part of the last winter, with almost record breaking snowfall amounts here in Toronto. So, what will next winter bring???
Before I bore all of you with my extremely long post, I'd like to give a introduction to myself.
I am a 15 year old living in Toronto and I was fascinated with weather ever since I was ten. I am a kid full of fascinating ideas. I've created a blog about weather when I was 12 and a website soon after. Unfortunately due to my lack of experience on the Internet, that experiment failed miserably. That however did not dampen my enthusiasm, I am constantly providing people with ideas about storms on forums and to my friends. It is not until this summer that I decide to give another try to maintain a successful weather blog.
So here I am, very anxious to get started again.
Throughout the year, the La Nina which accompanies last year's winter is fading, now to a neutralized state. Many Long Range Forecasters and Models hints that this winter's ENSO will stay neutral. This may provide some much needed cold air further south, pushing the storm track further south as well.
There has been a number of pre-fall winter forecasts and the consensus of them is that next winter will bring cold and snowy weather to those snow starved area last winter. While I see the storm track a little bit further south this year. I do not think that the cold air will push that far south.
The outcome of next winter depend on several factors:
1. Will the ENSO stay neutral?
2. How Further south and how much will the pockets of arctic air move down
3. How Further south is the storm track next year.
Bearing these in mind, I have made a few early predictions:
1. The main storm track will be further south generally than last year, providing a few more coastal lows than last year. The number of Apps runner will decrease while the number of lake cutters will decrease as well. This provides room for Alberta Clippers rushing through the great Lakes region.
2. People in the I-95 corridor will get more precipitation than last year and alot more snowfall as they will be on the colder side of storms alot more this year.
3. The bulk of the arctic air will stay north of the Appalachians coming in after the Alberta Clippers rides through southern Ontario and southern Quebec. Pockets of cold air will escape further down south throughout the winter.
4.The lakes will stay active most part of the year. With mainly northeasterly, the general snowbelts region will receive more snow.
5. Southern Ontario and Southern Quebec will see less major snowstorms and more Alberta Clippers. The Atlantic Maritime will receive more Major Nor'easters.
Along with my fellow blogger Daniel(who will probably give his short introduction shortly), we will be starting our weather blog in 2 month come November 1st. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions for our upcoming blog please make a comment.
We will see you then!
Throughout the year, the La Nina which accompanies last year's winter is fading, now to a neutralized state. Many Long Range Forecasters and Models hints that this winter's ENSO will stay neutral. This may provide some much needed cold air further south, pushing the storm track further south as well.
There has been a number of pre-fall winter forecasts and the consensus of them is that next winter will bring cold and snowy weather to those snow starved area last winter. While I see the storm track a little bit further south this year. I do not think that the cold air will push that far south.
The outcome of next winter depend on several factors:
1. Will the ENSO stay neutral?
2. How Further south and how much will the pockets of arctic air move down
3. How Further south is the storm track next year.
Bearing these in mind, I have made a few early predictions:
1. The main storm track will be further south generally than last year, providing a few more coastal lows than last year. The number of Apps runner will decrease while the number of lake cutters will decrease as well. This provides room for Alberta Clippers rushing through the great Lakes region.
2. People in the I-95 corridor will get more precipitation than last year and alot more snowfall as they will be on the colder side of storms alot more this year.
3. The bulk of the arctic air will stay north of the Appalachians coming in after the Alberta Clippers rides through southern Ontario and southern Quebec. Pockets of cold air will escape further down south throughout the winter.
4.The lakes will stay active most part of the year. With mainly northeasterly, the general snowbelts region will receive more snow.
5. Southern Ontario and Southern Quebec will see less major snowstorms and more Alberta Clippers. The Atlantic Maritime will receive more Major Nor'easters.
Along with my fellow blogger Daniel(who will probably give his short introduction shortly), we will be starting our weather blog in 2 month come November 1st. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions for our upcoming blog please make a comment.
We will see you then!
4 comments:
How Much Snow For My Area[Perry Hall Maryland].
Right now, it is tough to determine that, I'll play safe and say 10-20 inches right now, but I'll get back to you when my final outlook is out at the end of the month.
Way Way Way off..I think you should revise and visit us when you are back to the basics..Don't get to fancy yet, your haven't covered your basics IE. Barometric and Bottoms.the 2 B's..Hold the course, maybe oneday you'll have a chance!
care to explain your thoughts?
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