More Storm Tracking!

No map today unfortunately. I've got to move through this quick since I got alot of homework today(yay 24 physics question sets!).

Dec 5-7 Storm
Chance of accumlating snow: 30% 10cm+: 10%

I was semi excited to see a storm off the coast 2 days ago because I feel the models are definitely going to trend west. It did, but not by much. Most models are surprisingly consistent and in agreement in placing this low offshore. It barely budged much over the last 2 days on the GFS, Euro and GGEM.

The public enemy is the menacing high pressure to our west. Most models seemed to be confident in picking up a strong swath of high pressure air mass dominating the midwest US into the Great Lakes region. This big bad high pressure seemed to be able to scare off the poor low pressure storm out to sea.

So far, the only model favoring good precipitation inland is the NAM(and is still a good 100km away from giving us anything at all). However it is considered an outlier compared to all the other models. I do believe the models will continue to go west. However, now that we are 3 days away from the event, unless all the major models overestimated the strength of the high pressure, I don't think it could move that much anymore.

Boo Hoo?

Dec 8-10 Storm
Chance of accumlating snow: 80% 10cm+: 30%

Now, this is the one I like my chances in. GFS is very consistent in bringing up a Colorado low to us during the time period. Obviously, the dynamics of this system changed run to run, altering between giving us rain, ice, some snow and alot of snow. Now, I am not going to worry about the trivial stuff right now. The reason I am favouring this system is because I am liking the consistency of the GFS as well as the pattern we are in.

The only problem? We are still too far away.

Rainy Alex
For us snow starved people, all we need is rain right? The answer better be yes because we are in for quite a dumping tommorow. 20-30mm of rain could fall over the course of overnight and tommorow. Remember to bring your umbrella and mourn on what could have been our first awesome winter storm!

Misc.
- Physics is getting tough. I could swear that my grade 11 physics teacher is giving us grade 12 level physics problem to do. Oh boy, I could only imagine doing all this stuff(that would be much harder than this) for four years in university. Oh well.

- Obviously, some smart person wanted to show off their intelligence by posting a hate comment on the post about hate comments. You know, a good classic hate comment is just like a masterful piece of literature. If you want your hate comment to be posted, you should at least put some more effort into it to make it a quality innovative hate comment. Things such as "you are a fucking loser" is just so overused and lame.